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Building the Winning Percentage Model to Predict Regular Season Results of NBA Teams Based on Regression and Time Series Analysis of Common Basketball Statistics

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dc.contributor.advisor McCullough, Kristin en_US
dc.contributor.author Ou, Sinong en_US
dc.date.accessioned 2017-05-18T19:28:08Z
dc.date.available 2017-05-18T19:28:08Z
dc.date.issued 2017-05-18
dc.identifier.uri http://commons.lib.niu.edu/handle/10843/17630
dc.description.abstract With the trend to apply statistics to predict sport games, the purpose of this paper is to find a model that can help to predict the percentage of games won for NBA teams during a season based on data for team and individual player performance. Multiple linear regression is used to build a predictive model, while time series analysis is used to assist with model selection. Great care is taken here, because statistical software will build a model regardless of collinearity, which means the model contains highly correlated variables, and despite whether regression assumptions are met. A general model that can predict all teams’ performance is found. The model basically fits every team, and even the worst predictions look decent. However, each team has its own philosophy, so each has different significant factors. Thus models built for individual teams perform better. en_US
dc.format.extent 24 pages en_US
dc.language.iso en_US en_US
dc.publisher Northern Illinois University en_US
dc.rights NIU theses are protected by copyright. They may be viewed from Huskie Commons for any purpose, but reproduction or distribution in any format is prohibited without the written permission of the authors. en_US
dc.subject Multivariate Linear Regression en_US
dc.subject Time Series en_US
dc.subject Collinearity en_US
dc.title Building the Winning Percentage Model to Predict Regular Season Results of NBA Teams Based on Regression and Time Series Analysis of Common Basketball Statistics en_US
dc.type.genre Dissertation/Thesis en_US
dc.type Text en_US
dc.contributor.department Division of Statistics en_US
dc.description.degree B.S. (Bachelor of Science) en_US


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